BofA Merrill Lynch don’t expect any change in monetary
policy at the next ECB meeting. However, persistently weak credit
growth, slipping inflation expectations, and the ongoing liquidity drain
raise the risk of rate cuts in the coming months.
A positive surprise from this meeting could be a decision
to publish minutes, which would increase transparency by shedding light
on the views of Governing Council Members, whose communication with the
public varies widely.
Experts of BofA Merrill Lynch see no impact on rates and only small
upside Euro risks from the meeting, with the market impact depending
mostly on the tone of the press conference.
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