Data released (actual, consensus, previous):
12:30 GMT Canada Capacity Utilization (Q1) 81.1% 81.5% 80.5%
12:30 GMT Canada New Housing Price Index (YoY) (Apr) 2% _ 2%
12:30 GMT Canada New Housing Price Index (MoM) (Apr) 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
12:30 GMT USA Export Price Index (YoY) (May) -0.9% -0.9%
12:30 GMT USA Export Price Index (MoM) (May) -0.5% 0.0% -0.7%
12:30 GMT USA Import Price Index (MoM) (May) -0.6% 0.0% -0.7%
14:00 GMT USA Business Inventories (Apr) 0.3% 0.3% -0.1%
The U.S. dollar fell to a two-month low against the yen as data showing Japanese investors continued to sell foreign debt and equities outweighed stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales and jobless claims.
Stronger economic data in the U.S. lent support to the
eventual slowing of the Federal Reserve’s monthly asset purchases, which
are understood to weigh on the dollar.
May retail sales rose at the fastest rate in three months,
jumping a seasonally adjusted 0.6%. The increase was fueled by auto
sales, which masked a fall in sales for electronics, clothes and
restaurants, among others. Retail sales were expected to rise 0.5% in
May after a small 0.1% uptick in April, according to economists.
Weekly jobless claims fell by 12,000 to 334,000 for the
week ended June 8 and the four-week average of new claims, which is less
volatile, fell by 7,250 to 345,250. Economists had expected a weekly
figure of 350,000.
EURO:
The euro recovered late Thursday.
Earlier rate was under pressure after the the World Bank
cut its growth forecast for the global economy this year to 2.2%, from a
January prediction of 2.4%, and slower than last year’s 2.3%.
EUR/USD recovered after it earlier fell to
$1.3280 and currently holds near $1.3220. Below today’s lows support
comes at $1.3250 (channel line from May 29), then - at $1.3170 (Jun 10
lows). Initial resistance comes at Asian high on $1.3380, extending to
$1.3400 (Jan 14 highs) and $1.3480 (channel resistance line).
POUND:
The Uk pound rallied Thursday, despite some correction in US hours.
The BOE’s Fisher indicating that the economic recovery may take longer than anticipated.
GBP/USD broke above the $1.5700, climbing to
its highest level in 4 months at $1.5737. Next resistances could be
found at $1.5765 (Feb 7 high) and $1.5800 (psychological level), while
supports are seen at $1.5640 (daily low) and $1.5605/00 (100-day
SMA/psychological level).
YEN:
The yen rose Thursday as data showing Japanese investors
continued to sell foreign debt and equities outweighed
stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales and jobless claims.
Data from the Ministry of Finance showed Japanese investors
sold a net ¥386.9 billion ($408.8 billion) of overseas debt and a net
¥221.8 billion of foreign stocks in the prior week. The numbers extend a
trend from last week, when Japanese investors sold another ¥1.17
trillion worth of foreign bonds, the largest amount since April 2012.
The highlight of this evening is the minutes of the May 21-22 Bank of Japan meeting.
At this week's decision the BOJ didn't opt to extend the
loans and hints about why might be in the prior meeting. The minutes
will be released at 23:50 GMT.
At 07:10 GMT the Japanese cabinet office will release its
monthly economic report and is expected to upgrade its economic
encasement for the third month in a row.
USD/JPY holds higher daily lows on Y93.80 and
currently at Y94.77. Below daily lows support comes at Y93.50 (Mar 25
lows) and then - at Y92.50 (Apr 2 lows). Initial resistance is placed at
Y95.00 and then - at Y96.20 (Jun 12 hourly highs) and Y97.00 (Jun 12
highs).
COMMODITY CURRENCIES
AUSSIE: The Australian dollar rose.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics said employment rose by
1,100 jobs in May, to nearly 11.7 million. Economists had expected, on
average, a loss of 10,000 jobs last month.
The unemployment rate on a seasonally adjusted basis remained at 5.5%, while economists were looking for a rise to 5.6%.
DATA AHEAD:
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes will come out at 23:50 GMT.
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